One of the questions that most caught
my attention during our lively class debate on Monday evening was asked by a
member of the Con team [I paraphrase]: How could the international system
fundamentally change? What would that even look
like?
The Pro team did not have a good
answer to the question of what a fundamentally different international system
would look like. But simply because something is difficult to imagine does not
mean it cannot exist. Much of modern industry relies upon the ability to come
up with things previously unimagined by most people.
Nonetheless, it is difficult to argue
in favor of something with no idea as to its possible shape. So I set to
thinking about what a fundamentally altered international system might look like.
Professor Shirk’s comments at the end of class were helpful in that endeavor.
He pointed out that throughout history, sovereign states have not always been
the way in which the international system was arranged. Certain empires, for
example, did not conform to that model.
We can use empires as a jumping-off
point for what are, at heart, different ways of framing power. Currently, the
system of sovereign states divides power into discrete units, all defined in
the same way – as “states” – despite the fact that they differ in the extent
and configuration of their power. Due to the imbalance of power, weaker states
are incentivized to form alliances with stronger states, thereby marginally
increasing the power of those already strong states.
What if we conceived of the dispersion
power in a different way? For example, it is possible to imagine an arrangement
in which weaker states, knowing that they could not maintain their sovereignty
in any case, chose to give up their sovereignty and merge with stronger states
for the protection of their citizens. In another scenario, a more even
distribution of power might disincentivize both alliances and competition,
making cooperation among all states more advantageous than discord. For that
matter, why could power politics not play out on the world stage in the way it
currently does within states, with a global government replacing state
governments?
Of course, there are many reasons “why
not” given the current tensions and relations among states. However, the point
of the above exercise is not to measure the likelihood of those changes
happening, but merely to point out that it is possible to imagine them.
No comments:
Post a Comment